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دكتور سمير مصطفى شعراوي شعراوي

الهاتف
بريد إلكتروني
موقع المكتب
CBA- ISOM - 1014 A2
Professor
الدرجات والشهادات

Ph.D.               Statistics, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, U.S.A., July l984.

 

M.Sc.               Statistics, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, U.S.A., May l981.

 

B.Sc.               Statistics, Cairo University, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Egypt,                               May l973.

المسؤوليات الرئيسية
الخبرة المهنية

 

  • Professor, Department of Information and scientific services, the Custodian of the Holly Mosques Institute of Hajj Research. Umm Al-Qura University, June 2011-2015

  • Duties: Consultation and research. 

 

  • Professor, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faulty of Applied Sciences. Umm Al-Qura University, 2008-june 2011

  • Duties:  Teaching courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

Professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, June 2005- 2008

Duties:  Teaching graduate and undergraduate courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

Professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, King Abdul-Aziz University, KSA, September 2000- June 2005.

Duties:  Teaching graduate and undergraduate courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

 

Professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, June l995- August 2000.

Duties:  Teaching graduate and undergraduate courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

Associate Professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, September l994-June l995.

Duties:  Teaching graduate and undergraduate courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

Associate Professor, Department of Planning and Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, United Arab Emirates University, December l990-September l994.

Duties:  Teaching undergraduate courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

Assistant Professor, Department of Planning and Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, United Arab Emirates University, September l988-December l990.

Duties:  Teaching undergraduate courses of Statistics and Mathematics, Consultation and research.

 

Assistant Professor, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, June l985-September l988.

Duties:  Teaching undergraduate and graduate courses of Statistics, Consultation and research.

 

Assistant Professor (Part-time). American University in Cairo, Cairo, Egypt, l986-l987.

Duties:  Teaching some undergraduate courses of Statistics.

 

Research Associate, Department of Statistics, Oklahoma State University, U.S.A., September l984-March l995.

Duties:  Consultation and Research.

 

Graduate Teaching Associate, Department of Statistics, Oklahoma State University, U.S.A., l982-l984.

 

Teaching Assistant, Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, October l973-December l978.

 

Research Assistant (Part-time), American University, Cairo, Egypt, l973-l974.

 

البحث

1.         *Samir M. Shaarawy and Lyle Broemeling (1984). "Bayesian Inferences and Forecasts with Moving Average Processes". Communication in Statistics, Vol. 13, No. 15, pp. 1871-1888.

 

2.         Samir M. Shaarawy and Lyle Broemeling (l985). "Inference and Prediction with ARMA Processes".  Communication in Statistics, Vol. 14, No. 10, pp. 2531-2548.

 

3.         Lyle D. Broemeling and Samir Shaarawy (l986).  "A Bayesian Analysis of Times Series".  Bayesian Inference and Decision Techniques with Applications:  Essays in Honor of Bruno de Finetti, edited by Goel and Zellner, pp. 337-354, Elsevier Science Publishing Company, Inc., New York

            

4.         Samir M. Shaarawy and Mohamed Ismail (l987).  "Bayesian Inference for Seasonal ARMA Models".  The Egyptian Statistical   Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo, Egypt.

 

5.         Lyle D. Broemeling and Samir Shaarawy (l988).  "Time Series: A Bayesian Analysis in Time Domain".  Bayesian Analysis of Time Series and Dynamic Models, edited by Spall, pp. 1-21, Marcel Dekker Inc., New York.

 

6.         Samir M. Shaarawy (l989). "Bayesian Inferences and Forecasts with Multiple ARMA Models".  Communication in Statistics, Vol. 18, No. 4, pp. 1481-1509. 

 

7.         Samir M. Shaarawy (l99l). "Fully Bayesian Analysis of Bivariate ARMA Models".  The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 144-162.

 

8.         Ahmed H. Haroun and Samir M. Shaarawy (l992).  "Bayesian Classification with First Order Moving Average Sources". The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Vol. 36, No. 2, pp. 317-325.

 

9.         Samir M. Shaarawy (l992). "Bayesian Classification with Multivariate Autoregressive Processes". The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Vol. 36, No. 2, pp. 346-356.

 

 

10.       Abdel Raouf A. Rahman, Samir M. Shaarawy (1993). "Bayesian Classification with Different Orders Moving Average Sources". The Scientific Journal of Commerce and Finance, Faculty of Commerce, Tanta University.

 

11.       Samir M. Shaarawy and Ahmed Haroun (l994). "Bayesian Classification with ARMA Sources".  The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 165-176.

 

12.       Samir M. Shaarawy (l994). "Bayesian Classification of Autoregressive Sources with Unknown Order". The Scientific Journal, Faculty of Commerce, Al-Azhar University, Vol. 20.

 

13.       Samir M. Shaarawy and Mohamed El-Mahmeed (l995).  "Bayesian  Classification with Multivariate Autoregressive Sources That Might Have Different Orders". Communication in Statistics, Vol. 24, No. 3.

 

14.     Samir M. Shaarawy, Ahmed Daif and Mona A. Shafy (1997). "Bayesian Classification of 

              Multivariate AR. Sources with unknown order ". The Egyptian Stat. Journal, institute of                    Stat. Studies and Research, Cairo Univ., Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 205-221.

 

15.  Samir M. Shaarawy, Ahmed Daif, and Mona A. Shafy (1998). "Bayesian Classification of                 Multivariate Moving Average Sources". The Scientific Journal of Economics and                    Commerce, Faculty of Commerce, Ain Shams University, Vol. 1.

 

16. Lyle Broemeling and Samir M. Shaarawy (1999). "Bayesian Identification of Time                                Series". The Scientific Journal of Economics and Commerce, Ain Shams University,                 Vol.4.

 

17.   Samir M. Shaarawy and Gamal El-Shawadfy (1999). "On the Adequacy of Using T       

            Approximation in Bayesian Inferences of ARMA Models". The Egyptian Statistical                       Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Vol. 43.

 

18.  Samir M. Shaarawy, Ahmed Daif, and Alyaa R. Zahran (2000). "Bayesian Classification of               Moving Average Sources with Unknown Order". The Scientific Journal of Economics            and Commerce, Faculty of Commerce, Ain Shams University, Vol. 1.

 

19.  Samir M. Shaarawy, Ahmed Daif, and Alyaa R. Zahran (2001). "Bayesian Classification of                    ARMA Sources with Unknown Order". Communications in Statistics- Theory and   

           Methods, Vol. 30, Issue 6. 

 

20.   Shaarawy, S. and Ali, S. (2003). “Bayesian Identification of Seasonal Autoregressive  

            Models”. Communications in Statistics- Theory and Methods, Vol. 32, Issue 5, pp.  

            1067-1084.

 

21. Shaarawy, S., AL Bassam, M. and Ali, S. (2006). “A Direct Bayesian Identification to Select the Order of Bivariate Autoregressive Processes”. The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University. 

 

22. Shaarawy, S., E.E.A. Salam and Ali, S. (2007). “Bayesian Identification of Moving Average    Models”. Communications in Statistics- Theory and Methods, Vol. 36, Issue 12.

 

23. Shaarawy, S. and Ali, S. (2008). “Bayesian Identification of Multivariate Autoregressive                   Processes”. Communications in Statistics- Theory and Methods, Vol. 37, Issue 5.

 

24. Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and Shahin, H.(2010) “Bayesian Prediction of  Autoregressive Model  Using Different Priors” The Egyptian Statistical. Journal, institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo Univ., Vol. 54, No. 2, pp. 108-126.

 

25. Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and El –Souda, R.M.(2011). “Bayesian Identification of Seasonal Moving Average Models”. Egyptian Statistical Journal, Cairo University, Vol.55 No. 12.pp. 40-52

 

26. Shaarawy, S. AL Bassam, M. and Ali, S. (2011). “Bayesian Identification Two Dimensional Moving Average of Processes”. Journal of Applied Statistical Science.Vol.19, Issue 3.

 

27. Shaarawy, S and Ali S. (2012). “Bayesian Model Order Selection of Vector Moving Average      Processes”. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, Vol.41, Issue 4,684-698

 

28. Shaarawy, S., Khan, E., Elgamal, .M. (2014). “Modeling and Forecasting the Number of        Pilgrims Coming from Outside the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Using Bayesian and Box- Jenkins Approaches”. IJACSA Volume 5 No. 4 l.

29. Shaarawy, S. and Ali S. (2015). “Bayesian Identification of Seasonal Multivariate    Autoregressive”. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 44; 823-838.

 

30. Khan, E., Elgamal, .M. and Shaarawy, S. (2015). “Forecasting the Number of Muslim Pilgrims Using NARX Neural Networks with a Comparison Study with Other Modern Methods”.   British Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science.

 

31. Shaarawy, S., Soliman, E. and Sorour, W. (2015). "On Bayesian Identification of Autoregressive Processes.   Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research. Vol.1. pp. 11-28.

32. Assas, B.M., Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman E.E.A. and Ali, S.S. (2015). BTS 1.0 : A Computer         Package to do a Complete Bayesian Analysis of  Autoregressive Processes. The Egyptian             Statistical Journal, Vol.59, No.2, pp (213-236).

 

     33. Shaarawy, S., Mohran. M.(2018). “A Closed Analytic Form for the Precision Matrix of the         Second Order Moving Processes”. The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Vol.62, No.1, pp(1-14).          Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University.

 

34. Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and Shahin, H.(2018) “Bayesian Prediction of  Moving Average Processes Using Different Types Priors” The Egyptian Statistical Journal, institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo Univ., Vol. 62, No. 1, pp. 35-64.

 

35. Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman E.E.A. and Ali, S.S. (2018). “Indirect and Direct Bayesian Techniques to Identify the Orders of Vector ARMA Processes” The Egyptian Statistical Journal, institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo Univ., Vol. 62, No. 1, pp. 15-34.

 

36. Shaarawy, S.M., Ali, S.S. and Soliman, E.E.A. (2020). A Bayesian Procedure to Identify the Orders of Vector Moving Average Processes with Seasonality. The Egyptian Statistical Journal, Vol. 64, No.1, pp.1-20.

 

37. Shaarawy, S.M.,(2023). Bayesian Modeling and Forecasting of Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Processes. Communications in Statistics- Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(11), pages 3795-3815, June. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610926.     

 

 

 

Papers Presented in Conferences and Published in Proceedings

 

Samir M. Shaarawy and Gamal El-Shawadfy (l987). "Approximate Bayesian Predictive Density of Future Observations for Seasonal ARMA Models".  The 2nd Annual Conference in Statistics, Computer Science and Operation Research, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Vol. 2, Stat., pp. 160-178, Cairo University, Egypt.

 

Nadia M. Girgis, Samir Shaarawy, and Wafik Younan (l987).  "On   the Modeling of Grouped Statistical Data". The second ORMA Conference, Military Technical College, November l987, Cairo, Egypt.

 

Wafik Y. Younan and Samir Shaarawy (l989). "An Equivalent Criterion to the (-) Ln-Likelihood Function in the Goodness of Fit with Computer Application to the Egyptian Income Data".  The 1st Annual Conference on Statistics and Computer Modelling in Human and Social Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt.

 

Abdel Rahman M. Ibrahim, Samir Shaarawy and Ahmed Daif (l990). "Bayesian Inferences with Bivariate SAARMA Models". Assuit First International Conference of Mathematics and Statistics (AICOMS-1-1990).  February 12-14, 1990, Assuit University, Egypt.

 

Abdel Rahman M. Ibrahim, Samir Shaarawy and Ahmed Daif (l99l). "Bayesian Inferences with Multivariate Seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average Models".  The 3rd Annual Conference on Statistics and Computer Modeling in Human and Social Sciences,     Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, Egypt.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy, Tarek Amira and Gamal El-Shawadfy (l99l). "On the Adequacy of T Approximation in the Bayesian Estimation of MA Models".48th ISI Session, Cairo, Sept. 9-17, l99l.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy, Tarek Amira and Gamal El-Shawadfy (l99l)."On the Adequacy of T Approximation in the Bayesian Forecasting of MA Models".  The 26th Annual Conference on Statistics, Computer Sciences and Operation Research, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Vol. 26, Math. Stat., pp. 104-119, Cairo University, Egypt.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy (l992)."Towards an Exact Analysis of the Second Order Moving Averages Processes". The 17th International Conference for Statistics, Computer Science, and its Scientific and Social Applications, Scientific Computing Center, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy and Ahmed H. Haroun (1992). "Bayesian Classification with General Moving Average Sources". The third Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ISOSS-3), August 25-29, 1992 Rabat, Morocco.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy (l993).  "Multivariate Time Series:  A Complete Bayesian Analysis in Time Domain".  The 28th Annual Conference on Statistics, Computer Sciences and Operation Research, Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Egypt.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy and Ahmed Daif (l994). "Posterior Predictive Density of Future Observations for Multivariate Seasonal ARMA Models". The 6th Annual Conference on Statistics  and Computer Modeling in Human and Social Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Cairo University, Egypt.

 

Samir M. Shaarawy, Ahmed daif , and Mona A. Shafy (2000). "Bayesian Classification of VAR Sources with Different Unknown Orders". The 12th Annual Conference on Statistics and Computer Modeling in Human and Social Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Political Science , Cairo University  , Egypt.

 

المواد الأكاديمية
  • Business Statistics I (QMS 120)
  • Business Statistics II. (QM 1013220)
  • Business Mathematics QMS-110
  • Statistics for Business and Economics.

    • Statistical Methods.

    • Applied Statistics.

    • Economic Statistics.

    • Regression and Correlation Analysis.

    • Time Series Analysis.

    • Calculus I, II.

    • Linear Algebra.

    • Introduction to Probability Theory.

    • Statistical Inference.

    • Linear Models.

    • Mathematics for Statistics.

    • Mathematics for Economics.

    • A Graduate Course in Time Series.

    • Theory of Estimation.

    • Theory of Testing of Hypotheses.

المنشورات
  1. Principles of Statistics with using Computer (in Arabic) (1999). Arabic Dar El Nahda,              Cairo, Egypt.

     

  2. Introduction of Modern Analysis of Time Series (in Arabic) (2005). Center of Scientific          Publication, King Abdul-Aziz University, KSA.

 

  1. Principales of statistical analysis (in Arabic) (2014). Faculty of Economics and Political sciences, Caro University.

 

  1. Introduction to time series analysis in Economics and management with the use of the Minitab program (in Arabic) (2014). Faculty of Economics and Political sciences, Caro University.